2016 Barnes Bracketology - Feb. 6

So the big development since the first post on Monday was the news that Louisville will self-sanction themselves with a postseason ban in basketball. That is a huge development considering their standing this season. So right when I was ready to post my latest projections, I stopped and decided to wait an extra day. Their loss though is someone's else gain. But it is a shame that both Louisville and SMU will be ineligible from this year's tournament because both of those teams are very worthy and who know, could have made deep runs in the Big Dance.

MY PROJECTED FIELD OF 68
(changes in italics)

LOCKS: Louisville was going to join this group with their win vs. North Carolina but alas, not happening. Oregon however is joining. They are number 2 in the RPI and with a solid win vs. Colorado, they deserve the graduation.

LOCKS (15): Oklahoma, Villanova, Kansas, Iowa, Xavier, North Carolina, Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Michigan State, Texas A+M, Iowa State, Oregon, Miami (FL), Providence



AUTOS: Normally do not make changes to this group in the mid-week posts but I am forced to as I projected Grand Canyon to win the WAC. They are ineligible though because this is their first year in Div. I competition. So scratch that. They have been replaced by New Mexico State.

Teams that have clinched their berth will appear in bold

AUTOS (26): America East - Stony Brook, American - Cincinnati, Atlantic-10 - VCU,  Atlantic Sun - North Florida, Big Sky - Montana, Big South - Winthrop, Big West - UC-Irvine, Colonial - UNC-Wilmington, Conference-USA - UAB, Horizon - Valparaiso, Ivy - Yale, MAAC - Monmouth, MAC - Akron, MEAC - Hampton, Missouri Valley - Wichita State, Mountain West - San Diego State, Northeast - Wagner, Ohio Valley - Belmont, Patriot - Bucknell, Southern - Chattanooga, Southland - Stephen F. Austin, SWAC - Texas Southern, Summit - South Dakota State, Sun Belt - AR-Little Rock, WCC - Saint Mary's, WAC - New Mexico State

AT-LARGE: I said Louisville's loss would be someone else's gain. Well, that team is LSU, who sneaks into this group but will find themselves in Dayton for now. Some shuffling here but no other major changes.

These are in order, so the last four teams will be playing in the "First Four" in Dayton.

AT-LARGE (27): Dayton, Baylor, Kentucky, Purdue, Duke, Utah, Notre Dame, Indiana, Texas, Arizona, USC, Florida, Pittsburgh, Colorado, California, Michigan, Washington, UConn, FSU, Vanderbilt, Syracuse, Butler, South Carolina, Clemson, St. Joseph's, LSU

BUBBLE WATCH

BUBBLE: Added a few teams to the end of this list. Don't worry too much about the order near the end. It's more about getting them on this list to keep track of them. It's still very early so there will always be a lot of movement in this group, up and down.

These are in order, so to figure out the first teams out, head to the final team from the AT-LARGE category and look for all the teams behind them.

BUBBLE (47): Dayton, Baylor, Kentucky, Purdue, Duke, Utah, Notre Dame, Indiana, Texas, Arizona, USC, Florida, Pittsburgh, Colorado, California, Michigan, Washington, UConn, FSU, Vanderbilt, Syracuse, Butler, South Carolina, Clemson, St. Joseph's, LSU,, Wisconsin, Oregon State, Cincinnati, San Diego State, Monmouth, Stanford, Saint Mary's, BYU, UCLA, Texas Tech, Seton Hall, Arizona State, Georgetown, Valparaiso, George Washington, Temple, Georgia

SEEDING

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN
ACC (9), Pac-12 (7), Big Ten (6), Big 12 (6), SEC (65), Big East (4), A-10 (3), American (2), West Coast (2)

COMING IN: LSU

GOING OUT: Louisville

Teams highlighted in green moved up in seeding since last bracket.

Teams highlighted in red moved down in seeding since last bracket.

(Click on bracket to enlarge)
SOUTH vs. WEST
EAST vs. MIDWEST

**Oklahoma is the overall top seed

Next update will come after Sunday OR Monday's games. There's this thing called the Super Bowl which may delay getting it done. Questions? Comments? Sound off on my Twitter or Facebook and I'll answer any questions.

MB

2016 Barnes Bracketology - Feb. 1

For the seventh year in a row, Barnes Bracketology is here! Been a very successful 6 years as I have correctly predicted 67 out of 68 teams each year. This year, I hope to be perfect -- though as I will point out numerous times throughout this journey, just because I miss a team does not mean I am wrong, just means I do not agree with the tournament committee. There is no RIGHT way to make these brackets. It is sort of like a puzzle that can be put together in different ways. Barnes Bracketology is simply just another one of those ways.

These early posts are always a bit rough and the projections will fluctuate a good amount as I really start to get a feel for the teams. When you're a football fanatic like myself, it's hard to throw yourself into this immediately so it takes a week or two. But just like the previous years, I continue to find ways to make this process easier, faster and hopefully more enjoyable for the reader and I think I will do that again this year.

If you are new to this column, here is a quick intro. I will update this every Monday and Friday. That is because teams tend to play one game from Mon-Thurs and then another between Fri-Sun. I will explain where each team stands. I will NOT look at one Bracketology projection on any other site (ESPN, CBS Sports, etc..) during this process as to not be influenced by so-called "experts" (who just simply get paid to do what I am doing as a hobby). I love your feedback too so if you have any questions or comments, go for it.

So for the seventh (!) year, here we go.

MY PROJECTED FIELD OF 68
(changes in italics)

LOCKS: This group is for the teams that will pretty much locked up their spot in the tournament. My goal is to never take a team out of this group, so I may be hesitant to put teams in here early on until I know for sure a team has done enough to make the tournament. I will put these teams in order so you know how I rank these teams on my S-Curve.

LOCKS (14): Oklahoma, Villanova, North Carolina, Kansas, Iowa, Xavier, Maryland, Virginia, Texas A&M, Iowa State, West Virginia, Michigan State, Providence, Miami (FL)



AUTOS: This is the group of teams that will only make the tournament by winning their conference tournament. Obviously, I do not follow all of these conferences so I tend to just write in the team that leads the standings. I will update these as the weeks go on to make sure I predict the team playing the best at the time.

Teams that have clinched their berth will appear in bold

AUTOS (27): America East - Stony Brook, American - Cincinnati, Atlantic-10 - VCU,  Atlantic Sun - North Florida, Big Sky - Montana, Big South - Winthrop, Big West - UC-Irvine, Colonial - UNC-Wilmington, Conference-USA - UAB, Horizon - Valparaiso, Ivy - Yale, MAAC - Monmouth, MAC - Akron, MEAC - Hampton, Missouri Valley - Wichita State, Mountain West - San Diego State, Northeast - Wagner, Ohio Valley - Belmont, Pac-12 - Oregon, Patriot - Bucknell, Southern - Chattanooga, Southland - Stephen F. Austin, SWAC - Texas Southern, Summit - South Dakota State, Sun Belt - AR-Little Rock, WCC - Saint Mary's, WAC - Grand Canyon

AT-LARGE: This group is for the teams that are not LOCKS to get into the tournament as of yet but still are worthy of being included in the field. This is the group that will slowly get smaller and smaller as the weeks go on. Some of these tams will graduate to LOCKS. Others will fall out and simply be on the BUBBLE on the outside looking in.

These are in order, so the last four teams will be playing in the "First Four" in Dayton.

AT-LARGE (27): Baylor, Kentucky, Louisville, Purdue, Dayton, Utah, Notre Dame, Duke, Arizona, Indiana, Texas, California, Florida, Michigan, Colorado, Pittsburgh, USC, South Carolina, Washington, Florida State, UConn, Saint Joseph's, Gonzaga, Syracuse, Butler, Clemson, Vanderbilt

BUBBLE WATCH

BUBBLE: You know what this group is about. The teams that are not LOCKS and are hoping to be an AT-LARGE selection. You'll notice, all of the AT-LARGE teams are in this group because if you aren't a LOCK, you're still technically on the BUBBLE. Some teams are just safer than others. You'll also see teams from the AUTO category in here. That's because they would be in the AT-LARGE discussion if they were to lose in the conference tournament.

These are in order, so to figure out the first teams out, head to the final team from the AT-LARGE category and look for all the teams behind them.

BUBBLE (46): Oregon, Baylor, Kentucky, Louisville, Purdue, Dayton, Utah, Notre Dame, Duke, Arizona, Indiana, Texas, California, Florida, Michigan, Colorado, Pittsburgh, USC, Wichita State, VCU, South Carolina, Washington, Florida State, UConn, Saint Joseph's, Gonzaga, Syracuse, Butler, Clemson, Cincinnati, Vanderbilt, LSU, UCLA, San Diego State, Monmouth, Saint Mary's, Wisconsin, Stanford, Oregon State, Arizona State, Seton Hall, BYU, Georgetown, Valparaiso, Tulsa, Texas Tech

SEEDING

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN
ACC (10), Pac-12 (7), Big Ten (6), Big 12 (6), SEC (5), Big East (4), A-10 (3), American (2), West Coast (2)

(Click on bracket to enlarge)
SOUTH vs. WEST
EAST vs. MIDWEST

**Oklahoma is the overall top seed

Next update will come after Thursday's games. Questions? Comments? Sound off on my Twitter or Facebook and I'll answer any questions.

MB

2015 Barnes Bracketology: FINAL

Happy Selection Sunday! For some, this is sort of a national holiday. The day when the brackets are announced and whatever you had planned to do the rest of your Sunday is forgotten because it's time to break down the brackets. For me though, it's the end of the road for this but the start of something even more fun.

KEEP IN MIND: I have two brackets. One for if UConn wins the American and steals a bid. Another for if SMU wins. Also, Georgia State simply represents the Sun Belt champion. If Georgia Southern happens to win that, simply replace them with Georgia State.

PSA: I am among a select few "celebrities" (using that term loosely for me) taking part in a bracket challenge presented by FLIP. It is am organization dedicated to cancer prevention. It is a cause near and dear to many, including myself. You can take part in the bracket challenge for just $10, which goes towards FLIP. And in return, you can compete for some great prizes (CBJ tix, tailgate package, OSU gear) plus try to out pick myself, Columbus Mayor Michael Coleman, former OSU athletes (Z. Boren, Stoneburner, Linsley, Sullinger) and NBC4's own Monica Day. Check it out right here!

MY PROJECTED FIELD OF 68
(changes in italics)

LOCKS: Added 3 more teams who I think will be in the field, even if that means they somehow drop into the "First Four".

This group is in order, so you have an idea of how they rank on my S-Curve.

LOCKS (42): Kentucky, Virginia, Villanova, Wisconsin, Duke, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas, Notre Dame, Iowa State, Maryland, Baylor, North Carolina, Oklahoma, SMU, Northern Iowa, Utah, Louisville, West Virginia, Arkansas, Georgetown, Wichita State, Providence, Michigan State, San Diego State, Xavier, Butler, VCU, Cincinnati, NC State, Dayton, Oregon, St. John's, Iowa, Ohio State, Davidson, Purdue, Georgia, Temple, Colorado State, Oklahoma State, Texas


AUTOS: Everything here is set besides the Sun Belt, who decides their champion today. Also technically, if UConn, they will be placed here as Wyoming was as they only way they would have made the field was by the automatic bid.

Teams that have clinched their berth will appear in bold

AUTOS (22): America East - Albany, Atlantic Sun - North Florida, Big Sky - Eastern Washington, Big South - Coastal Carolina, Big West - UC Irvine, Colonial - Northeastern, Conference USA - UAB, Horizon - Valparaiso, Ivy - Harvard, MAAC - Manhattan, MAC - Buffalo, MEAC - Hampton, Mountain West - Wyoming, Northeast - Robert Morris, Ohio Valley - Belmont, Patriot - Lafayette, Southern - Wofford, Southland - Stephen F. Austin, SWAC - Texas Southern, Summit - North Dakota State, Sun Belt - Georgia State, WAC - New Mexico State

AT-LARGE: Have to keep at least 4 teams here, just because it will represent the last 4 in, thus them playing in Dayton for the "First Four". But I would think LSU and Indiana are safely in the field.

AT-LARGE (4): LSU, Indiana, BYU, Boise State

 BUBBLE WATCH

BUBBLE: Been a very fluid process with the bubble this past week and instead of teams paying their way into the field, many have come up just short. That was the case for Rhode Island and Tulsa, who I think came up a win or two short. And poor Ole Miss, bumped out of the field thanks to Wyoming's win in the Mountain West tournament. Same could happen to Boise State if UConn upsets SMU in the American tournament.

These are in order, so to figure out the first teams out, head to the final team from the AT-LARGE category and look for all the teams behind them.

BUBBLE (10): LSU, Indiana, BYU, Boise State, Ole Miss, Tulsa, UCLA, Richmond, Texas A&M, Miami (FL)

SEEDING

As far as the bracket goes, I don't envision the committee waiting until 5:30-5:45 to change things around regarding Wisconsin being a 1 seed so win or lose today, I think the Badgers stay on the top line. They would have to change it if UConn wins, adding them, moving one team into the "First Fur" and taking a team from the "First Four" completely out of the field. That's an easy switch, as I did below. And I'm sure the same is said for the Sun Belt champion. Just change Georgia State and Georgia Southern. Again, I have Georgia State as the projected champ but if GSU wins, mentally put them there.

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN
 Big 12 (7), Big Ten (7), ACC (6), Big East (6), Mountain West (4), SEC (4), American (3), A-10 (3), Pac-12 (3), Missouri Valley (2), West Coast (2)

NEW TEAMS IN: Buffalo, Hampton, Wyoming

NEW TEAMS OUT: Central Michigan, Delaware State, Ole Miss

IF SMU WINS:

IF UCONN WINS

(Click on bracket to enlarge)
MIDWEST vs. WEST
EAST vs. SOUTH

**Kentucky is the overall top seed

GAMES TO WATCH

Conference Championship Games Today: SEC, Sun Belt, A-10, American, Big Ten

Brackets are announced at 6pm. I'll write a recap post on Monday and have my picks on Tuesday.

Thanks for reading and going on this journey with me. Enjoy the tournament!

MB

2015 Barnes Bracketology - Mar. 14

Plain and simple, that Friday was a big deal. And I know it doesn't make a ton of sense to change a lot just because of one day in Championship Week but when the margin between some of these teams is so razor thin on paper, one win or loss on the court is cause for change. And with that in mind, read below the many moves that have been made, including a new 1 seed!

PSA: I am among a select few "celebrities" (using that term loosely for me) taking part in a bracket challenge presented by FLIP. It is am organization dedicated to cancer prevention. It is a cause near and dear to many, including myself. You can take part in the bracket challenge for just $10, which goes towards FLIP. And in return, you can compete for some great prizes (CBJ tix, tailgate package, OSU gear) plus try to out pick myself, Columbus Mayor Michael Coleman, former OSU athletes (Z. Boren, Stoneburner, Linsley, Sullinger) and NBC4's own Monica Day. Check it out right here!

MY PROJECTED FIELD OF 68
(changes in italics)

LOCKS: 2 more teams are safely in the field by my estimation. Georgia avoided a third loss to South Carolina and despite not one top 50 RPI win, the Bulldogs have done enough. Purdue also avoided a bad loss vs. Penn State. A top 4 finish in the Big Ten regular season and a semifinal appearance in the conference tournament is enough for me.

This group is in order, so you have an idea of how they rank on my S-Curve.

LOCKS (39): Kentucky, Virginia, Villanova, Wisconsin, Duke, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas, Maryland, Notre Dame, Iowa State, Baylor, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Northern Iowa, SMU, Utah, Louisville, West Virginia, Georgetown, Arkansas, Wichita State, Providence, San Diego State, Xavier, Butler, Michigan State, Cincinnati, VCU, NC State, St. John's, Oregon, Iowa, Dayton, Ohio State, Davidson, Temple, Georgia, Purdue


AUTOS: Another team has clinched and a few others I predicted have been upset.

Teams that have clinched their berth will appear in bold

AUTOS (21): America East - Albany, Atlantic Sun - North Florida, Big Sky - Eastern Washington, Big South - Coastal Carolina, Big West - UC Irvine, Colonial - Northeastern, Conference USA - UAB, Horizon - Valparaiso, Ivy - Harvard, MAAC - Manhattan, MAC - Central Michigan, MEAC - Delaware State, Northeast - Robert Morris, Ohio Valley - Belmont, Patriot - Lafayette, Southern - Wofford, Southland - Stephen F. Austin, SWAC - Texas Southern, Summit - North Dakota State, Sun Belt - Georgia State, WAC - New Mexico State

AT-LARGE: And it's down to just 8 teams. And keep in mind, there are still 4 bid stealers alive (Auburn in the SEC, UConn in the AAC, Rhode Island in the A-10, and Wyoming in the Mountain West) so for the final 4 teams on this list, those are the teams you do not want to see win their conference tournaments. If they do, one spot for each team in this already shrinking field is taken away.

These are in order, so the last four teams will be playing in the "First Four" in Dayton.

AT-LARGE (8): Colorado State, Oklahoma State, Texas, LSU, Indiana, BYU, Boise State, Ole Miss

 BUBBLE WATCH

BUBBLE: I cut this down to just 12 because that's really all it comes down to. And the only two that have games remaining are Tulsa and Rhode Island. And let me tell you, Tulsa is knocking on the door. With a win vs. UConn, they may just walk into an AT-LARGE spot. We'll see though. I'm bullish on taking out any of the teams in that group as of now because in most years, they would have done enough.

These are in order, so to figure out the first teams out, head to the final team from the AT-LARGE category and look for all the teams behind them.

BUBBLE (12): Colorado State, Oklahoma State, Texas, LSU, Indiana, BYU, Boise State, Ole Miss, Tulsa, UCLA, Rhode Island, Richmond

SEEDING

I don't normally write in this section but I thought I should to explain my big move: moving Wisconsin to a 1 seed and moving Duke down to a 2 seed. This came due to Duke's loss to Notre Dame in the ACC Semifinals. Not since 2008 have 2 teams from the same conference been a 1 seed (Big East had three 1 seeds in '08). And I couldn't find one instance when a team did not win the regular season crown OR tournament crown and get a 1 seed in the last 10 tournaments. So why should Duke break that trend? Especially when you have teams as strong as Villanova, Arizona, Gonzaga and Kansas who are all worthy of a 1 seed in their own way and ALL may win their regular season AND tournament crown.

As for Virginia staying at a 1 seed despite two losses in a week, that's what happens when you start the year the way they did. You allow yourself some leeway. Plus, I think the committee decides not to penalize them for Justin Anderson missing the Louisville game and for him not being 100% yet vs. UNC. He should be fine by time the NCAA Tournament begins.

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN
 Big 12 (7), Big Ten (7), ACC (6), Big East (6), SEC (5), American (3), Mountain West (3), A-10 (3), Pac-12 (3), Missouri Valley (2), West Coast (2)

NEW TEAMS IN: None

NEW TEAMS OUT: None

(Click on bracket to enlarge)
MIDWEST vs. WEST
EAST vs. SOUTH

**Kentucky is the overall top seed

GAMES TO WATCH

Purdue vs. Wisconsin (Big Ten Semifinals) - Wisconsin would immediately lose the 1 seed they just were promoted to with a loss here.

Rhode Island vs. Dayton (A-10 Semifinals) - A lot of teams are rooting for Dayton here. Rhode Island is dangerously close to getting in on their resume already but they steal a bid if they win the tournament.

UConn vs. Tulsa (American Semifinals) - UConn is trying to steal a bid. Tulsa is trying to work their way onto the right side of the bubble. HUGE game.

Wyoming vs. San Diego State (Mountain West Championship) - BID STEALER ALERT! A Wyoming win means someone is dropping out of the AT-LARGE group and this late in the game, that team is unlikely to return.

Xavier vs. Villanova (Big East Championship) - Villanova drops to a 2 seed if they fall here. Too many good teams behind them ready to replace them on that line.

Oregon vs. Arizona (Pac-12 Championship) - Arizona is already playing like a 1 seed right now. Win here and help from Wisconsin and/or Villanova will likely see the Wildcats jumping up.

Other Conference Championship Games: America East, MEAC, C-USA, Ivy, Big 12, SWAC, MAC, ACC, Big Sky, Southland, WAC, Big West

Next bracket posted tomorrow, which just so happens to be Selection Sunday!

MB

2015 Barnes Bracketology - Mar. 13

I know, you can smell the finish line. So can I. Yesterday had games that really impacted how things were on this. Others though just kept things status quo. I'm not sure it's going to stay that way after Friday's games.

Quick note: I am among a select few "celebrities" (using that term loosely for me) taking part in a bracket challenge presented by FLIP. It is am organization dedicated to cancer prevention. It is a cause near and dear to many, including myself. You can take part in the bracket challenge for just $10, which goes towards FLIP. And in return, you can compete for some great prizes (CBJ tix, tailgate package, OSU gear) plus try to out pick myself, Columbus Mayor Michael Coleman, former OSU football and basketball players and more. Check it out right here!

MY PROJECTED FIELD OF 68
(changes in italics)

LOCKS: Plain and simple, the Pac-12 is getting three teams in the tournament. And Oregon is playing well enough now to not give me any doubt the committee will snub them on Selection Sunday.

This group is in order, so you have an idea of how they rank on my S-Curve.

LOCKS (37): Kentucky, Virginia, Duke, Villanova, Wisconsin, Arizona, Gonzaga, Kansas, Maryland, Baylor, Notre Dame, Iowa State, Utah, Oklahoma, Northern Iowa, SMU, Louisville, North Carolina, West Virginia, Wichita State, Georgetown, Arkansas, Butler, Providence, San Diego State, St. John's, Cincinnati, Iowa, VCU, Michigan State, NC State, Xavier, Dayton, Temple, Ohio State, Davidson, Oregon



AUTOS: Not one change here at all. That's rare for this late.

Teams that have clinched their berth will appear in bold

AUTOS (21): America East - Albany, Atlantic Sun - North Florida, Big Sky - Eastern Washington, Big South - Coastal Carolina, Big West - UC Davis, Colonial - Northeastern, Conference USA - Louisiana Tech, Horizon - Valparaiso, Ivy - Harvard, MAAC - Manhattan, MAC - Central Michigan, MEAC - NC Central, Northeast - Robert Morris, Ohio Valley - Belmont, Patriot - Lafayette, Southern - Wofford, Southland - Stephen F. Austin, SWAC - Texas Southern, Summit - North Dakota State, Sun Belt - Georgia State, WAC - New Mexico State

AT-LARGE: And then there were 10. No one added or dropped but BYU is now back in the "First Four" as Boise State works their way back into the better part of this group. Ole Miss is barely hanging on after a bad loss in the SEC tournament.

These are in order, so the last four teams will be playing in the "First Four" in Dayton.

AT-LARGE (10): Georgia, LSU, Colorado State, Purdue, Boise State, Oklahoma State, BYU, Indiana, Texas, Ole Miss

 BUBBLE WATCH

BUBBLE: Bubble were bursting like no other on Thursday. This group had 20 just a day ago. Now it's down to 15, and only one team graduated so that means the bubble is truly shrinking. Of the 5 teams still on the outside looking in, Texas A&M is the team that has no chance to play another game so their chances are very slim right now.

These are in order, so to figure out the first teams out, head to the final team from the AT-LARGE category and look for all the teams behind them.

BUBBLE (15): Georgia, LSU, Colorado State, Purdue, Boise State, Oklahoma State, BYU, Indiana, Texas, Ole Miss, UCLA, Tulsa, Richmond, Texas A&M, Rhode Island

SEEDING

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN
 Big 12 (7), Big Ten (7), ACC (6), Big East (6), SEC (5), American (3), Mountain West (3), A-10 (3), Pac-12 (3), Missouri Valley (2), West Coast (2)

NEW TEAMS IN: None

NEW TEAMS OUT: None

(Click on bracket to enlarge)
MIDWEST vs. WEST
EAST vs. SOUTH

**Kentucky is the overall top seed

GAMES TO WATCH

Michigan vs. Wisconsin (Big Ten Quarterfinals) -  This is all about a 1 seed for Wisconsin. The Badgers are very close to Villanova. So just keep winning.
Penn State vs. Purdue (Big Ten Quarterfinals) - Purdue is still in pretty solid for this late in the game. But don't lose here to stay that way.
VCU vs. Richmond (A10 Quarterfinals) - Richmond needs this one and likely another to knock down the BUBBLE door.
Auburn vs. LSU (SEC Quarterfinals) - LSU is very very close. Don't trip up here and we'll see them in the Big Dance.
Indiana vs. Maryland (Big Ten Quarterfinals) - Plain and simple for both teams. Indiana win means they are in the field. Win for Maryland moves them one step closer to possibly overtaking Kansas for a 2 seed.
Houston vs. Tulsa (American Quarterfinals) - Tulsa can't afford this upset. Or their bubble will burst.
Providence vs. Villanova (Big East Semifinals) - Providence is a good team so it's not a bad loss if it happens to Villanova. But their chance at a 1 seed may go away.
North Carolina vs. Virginia (ACC Semifinals) -  I think Virginia's 1 seed is safe but among the 4, not sure their placement yet. UNC fighting to move up to a 4 seed.
George Washington vs. Rhode Island (A10 Quarterfinals) - Must-win for Rhode Island to stay in the conversation.
South Carolina vs. Georgia (SEC Quarterfinals) - UGA should probably be in already. But they've lost to South Carolina. A third loss would be troubling.
UCLA vs. Arizona (Pac-12 Semifinals) - Easier said than done but UCLA must pull off this upset. And if they do, their reward my be a spot in the field.
Wyoming vs. Boise State (Mountain West Semifinals) - One more win for Boise may just do it. Hard to find fault with the rest of the resume.
Notre Dame vs. Duke (ACC Semifinals) - Duke locks up a 1 seed with a win here. A loss slightly opens the door for others like Wisconsin and Arizona.
Colorado State vs. San Diego State (Mountain West Semifinals) - Colorado State has been hovering as a BUBBLE from the beginning. They move to LOCK with this upset.

Next bracket posted tomorrow. Remember, we are going daily until Selection Sunday!

MB