Friday, November 6, 2009

2009 College Football - Week 10


It's the first weekend in November for college football and a pretty good slate of games to start off the biggest month in college football. Only two games involving ranked teams playing each other but a lot of other intriguing games/potential upsets that could shake up conference races and possibly the BCS games as well. That's just the joy of college football.

It was a solid picking week for me, going 10-5 so my season record is up to 85-50. Again, it's respectable but I'm really hoping to go 15-0 one of these weeks. If not that, at least 13-2 or something to really improve that overall record. 15 more tough games to pick this week so let's see what happens.

GAME OF THE WEEK

1. #9 LSU @ #3 Alabama
- Another week, another big SEC matchup involving either Florida or Alabama. This time, it's LSU facing Bama. LSU faced Florida back in October and never really gave them a scare. Their offense simply wasn't good enough to score on the Gator defense that isn't great but solid enough to stop an offense like LSU's. But LSU has played a couple games since that one and the offense has scored 73 pts in the last two games so maybe they've hit their stride. Thing is, now they face a defense that has given up just 91 points in 8 games. That's pretty darn good. Oh, and Bama has an offense led by RB Mark Ingram that you can't sleep on because he'll rack up 200 yds on you. I'll go with ALABAMA to stay unbeaten.

BEST OF THE REST

2. #16 Ohio State @ #11 Penn State - The race for the Big Ten title starts here. This week OSU faces Penn State. Next week, they face Iowa. The outcome of those two ballgames will determine who will probably face Oregon in the Rose Bowl. OSU and Terrelle Pryor have played well in the last 2 weeks but neither of those teams are to the caliber of PSU. The Nittany Lions have rebounded nicely since the loss to Iowa at home but again, haven't played a team to the caliber of OSU. Both teams are led by their defenses so expect this to be a low-scoring affair. Penn State's pass rush is one of the best, which is good and bad for Pryor. Could mean more sacks and bad throws but could also mean more throws on the run, which he is pretty good at, and long scrambles. This one will be a battle to the end but with the game being in Beaver Stadium, the edge goes to PENN STATE...and it sickens me to write that. Penn State 17, Ohio State 10.

3. #8 Oregon @ Stanford - Oregon's rise to the top has been impressive. But they could easily fall right back down if they don't come ready to play against Stanford. It's always tough to come off a big win like last week's win over USC and play a quality ballgame. Just ask USC, who lost after playing OSU two years in a row. Oregon's offense right now is just so good now while Stanford's defense is not. The Cardinal gave up 38 to ORST and then 48 to Arizona. Stanford is undefeated at home though, where they've played in the Jim Harbaugh era. Plus, a win makes them bowl-eligible for the first time since 2001 so you know the Cardinal will play their hearts out. I'm going with OREGON in a close one.

4. Navy @ #22 Notre Dame - Most years, this is not a big game but this is definitely one this year. Notre Dame is 4 wins away from probably making it to a BCS game. But one more loss all but ends that shot. The Irish are a pretty good team, especially on offense with QB Jimmy Clausen leading the way. The defense though is suspect, giving up nearly 23 points per game. Navy comes in with one of the better offenses in the nation with their unique triple-option attack. But against the best teams, they have fallen short. It hasn't been by much but they've been losses. Navy's defense though isn't great either so NOTRE DAME is my pick even though it wouldn't surprise me to see the Midshipmen win.

5. Connecticut @ #5 Cincinnati - There's no telling the Jasper Howard tragedy has worn on the UConn football team. They've played hard now twice in memory of him and lost both times in close ones, further deepening the hurt. But here's their chance to redeem themselves and really win for their departed teammate. UConn has the players to win this game. They just need to play a flawless game. Meanwhile, UC has been playing some great football, even with a backup QB. The offense and defense has been a part of this undefeated run and there's no sign of them slowing down. While I think UConn will keep this one competitive until the end, I just don't see CINCINNATI losing this one at home.

6. Wake Forest @ #10 Georgia Tech - On paper, this one shouldn't be close. GT is clearly the better team, especially on offense where their rushing attack remains one of the best in the nation. The thing is, this is the ACC, where amazing things happen. Right when you think you've got the teams figured out, the unimaginable happens. In this case, Wake is a decent team. In fact, they nearly beat Miami (FL) last week in Miami before letting it fall apart in the end. Now, they're losers of their last 3 and desperate to get a win to make sure they finish bowl-eligible. Meanwhile, GT has won 6 in a row but their defense has not been stellar at all. They gave up 28 first-half pts to an awful Vandy team before shutting them down in the second half. So there is hope for Wake. But my pick to win is GEORGIA TECH.

7. Florida State @ Clemson - Staying in the ACC, this is a big one in the ACC Atlantic. Clemson sits at 3-2, tied at the top with BC. Meanwhile, FSU is trying to continue their ascent to the top after an 0-3 start. If FSU loses this game, they're pretty much done. Meanwhile, a loss for Clemson doesn't completely knock them out. As far as the matchup, FSU's offense has been incredibly good the last 3 weeks, much of that thanks to QB Christian Ponder. Clemson though has been playing just as well on offense. CJ Spiller is the piece that makes them go but as long as Kyle Parker avoids turnovers, he becomes a weapon too with his throwing arm. This one will not be a defensive battle. Expect 80+ points to be scored and CLEMSON to come out on top.

8. #24 Oklahoma @ Nebraska - The Big 12 South is all but settled with Texas. But the Big 12 North is still well up for grabs. All 6 teams are still in the race but by far, Nebraska is the best team of them all. But a recent slide by the Huskers has put them in a tough spot. They control their own destiny but that means winning this game. With Landry Jones at QB, Oklahoma hasn't been terrible. In fact, their 3 losses have been by a combined 5 points. Nebraska has the players to win this game and at home, you know it'll be crazy. Oklahoma has won the last 4 in the series but NEBRASKA wins this one in my APPY of the week.

9. Kansas @ Kansas State - This is another big one when it comes to the Big 12 North. Kansas looked to be well on its way to a date with Texas in the Big 12 championship until their recent 3-game losing streak that has befuddled me and probably all of their fans. With a QB like Todd Reesing and other upperclassmen, the road looked pretty clear but it's sure foggy now. Now, KU needs to just keep winning and that includes this rivalry game against the upstart Wildcats. Bill Snyder has done a great job with this team so far, having them in the position to even compete for a division title. Thing is, of their 5 wins, none of them have come against real quality competition. The game is in Manhattan but KANSAS isn't losing 4 in a row.

10. #12 USC @ Arizona State - The Trojan faithful are probably still crying over the Oregon loss. I can understand, considering they've been the champs for so long in the Pac-10. But no used crying over spilled milk. The Trojans better rebound if they still want a shot at a BCS game. Normally after losses, Pete Carroll gets his guys ready for battle and many times, they trounce the opponent. Arizona State though should provide a bit of a challenge. ASU's run defense is pretty good, so if they can stifle Joe McKnight, they've got a real chance. Thing is, the Sun Devils aren't real good against the best teams in the land, even at home. They're 0-13 at home against opponents ranked in the top 15 or higher. USC wins by a good margin.

11. Oregon State @ #20 California - It's been a month since Cal has been in the top 25 and for good reason. The two losses they suffered were absolutely awful. But now, they seem to be back to their early form, especially RB Jahvid Best. Meanwhile, ORST is playing well as of late too, having won 3 of their last 4, with the lone loss coming to USC in a tight ballgame. The Beavers have truly picked up their game but I don't think they have enough defense to slow down QB Kevin Riley, Best and the rest of the Bears offense this week. CALIFORNIA comes away with the win.

12. Northwestern @ #4 Iowa - Don't worry Hawkeyes fans. I'm not gonna talk about how I underestimate the Hawkeyes anymore. In fact, they have an uncanny resemblance of the 2002 Ohio State team that went undefeated and won a national title game in the way they win ugly. And since Iowa continues to do that, one has to believe this game will be fun to watch. Northwestern is a gutsy team, led by QB Mike Kafka, a very underrated QB. He was playing a great game against Penn State before getting injured. If he stays healthy, he'll keep the Wildcats in the ballgame. But IOWA wins the game and moves to 10-0. Wow.

13. Virginia @ #17 Miami (FL) - This is probably Al Groh's last season coaching the Cavaliers. His record hasn't been great and this year is no different. But the thing about this UVA team is that they are always capable of pulling off a huge upset. Last year, they beat two ranked teams in a row. This year, they went on a 3-game win streak but they've lost the last 2. Meanwhile, Miami (FL) didn't play a good game against Wake last week but they got the win. I don't expect them to have trouble with UVA but again, this is the ACC, where strange things happen. MIAMI (FL) is my choice.

14. #15 Houston @ Tulsa - If you like a lot of scoring, then this is the matchup for you. Both teams like to score, especially Houston who has already racked up 333 pts in 8 games, 2nd in the nation. The Cougars are also 1st in total yards and pass yds. But don't count out Tulsa. Despite 3 losses in a row, you know the Golden Hurricane are gonna come swinging. The Conference USA West title is on the line and as history tells us, Tulsa is 9-6 against the Cougars at home. Last year, this was a 70-30 win for Houston. I don't think it will be that lopsided this time but HOUSTON outscores Tulsa in another fun one for the offenses.

15. Duke @ North Carolina - Yeah, this is actually a big one on the football field. Duke is on a 3-game win streak, and with one more win, would be bowl-eligible. Yes, still talking about Duke here. Plus, they're second in the division and should they win this game and beat GT next week, could end up in the ACC title game. Yep, still talking about Duke. Meanwhile, UNC bounced back after some shaky games with a very good win over VT in Blacksburg. The Tar Heels are 5-3 like the Blue Devils but just 1-3 in the ACC. They've played the best though, while Duke still has the best yet to come. Home field doesn't mean much in Chapel Hill (in football, that is) so forget that. This one will come down to the fact that North Carolina's defense is too good for a mediocre Duke offense. NORTH CAROLINA takes down their bball rival.

OTHER GAMES

Ohio @ Buffalo - It's a big Tuesday ballgame for the Bobcats and it's on national TV. I'll preview it in my recap on Monday night.

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

NFL Week 8 Power Rankings

It's hard to think that already, we're reaching the halfway point of the NFL season. Just seems like yesterday the Browns were hiring their new GM and were excited for the 2009 season. Now, their GM has been fired and fans are threatening to show up late for a nationally televised game because their 1-7 team is horrible. Ah, good 'ol Browns.

It was a kind of wild week in the NFL if there is such a thing. Teams that were winless got their first victory and another unbeaten lost. A few others "upsets" happened as well and some guy named Brett Favre took down his former club at a place he had played in for 17 seasons. But how does all of this affect the all-important Power Rankings?
1. Indianapolis (7-0, LW: 1) - The Colts had a somewhat surprising struggle with the 49ers, who gave them all they could handle in Indy. Peyton didn't even throw a touchdown pass in the victory. Just goes to show this team can win ugly too. NEXT vs. Houston

2. Denver (6-1, LW: 2) - You knew the Broncos were bound to lose and losing to the Ravens isn't a bad loss. Denver's lack of offense is a bit of a concern, scoring just 7 points but they are well on their way to winning the AFC West already. NEXT MON vs. Pittsburgh

3. Cincinnati (5-2, LW: 3) - No change here for the Bengals who enjoyed a bye week with a winning record. The 5-2 start is something to be proud of but the next 2 games against Baltimore and Pittsburgh will determine if they are playoff worthy. NEXT vs. Baltimore

4. Pittsburgh (5-2, LW: 4) - The Steelers are coming off a bye week as well and maybe during that time, they found a real running game. They'll need it as they prepare to take on what a defense that held Joe Flacco to 175 pass yds last week. NEXT @ Denver

5. New England (5-2, LW: 5) - The Pats are back in the States now and playing with tons of confidence but considering their last two wins are against TEN and TB, who knows if they're really this good. Big division battle at home this week. NEXT vs. Miami

6. Baltimore (4-3, LW: 6) - You knew the Ravens were too good to lose 3 in a row. The offense didn't have their best day but they didn't to as the Ravens defense finally showed up to play a full 60 minutes. Now, they need to get revenge on the Bengals. NEXT @ Cincinnati

7. Miami (3-4, LW: 7) - That slow start may keep the Dolphins from the playoffs but this is a team you do not want to play. Their run game is hard to contain and that alone can wear down any defense. They're 3-0 in the division for now. NEXT @ New England

8. Houston (5-3, LW: 8) - Look out for the Texans. If the season ended now, they'd be in. The defense had its best game yet, giving up just 10 points and Ryan Moats stepped in nicely at runningback. Huge test this week for the defense against Peyton Manning. NEXT @ Indianapolis

9. San Diego (4-3, LW: 9) - The Raiders weren't as easy to beat as the Chargers may have thought. In fact, it took a 4th quarter stop to secure the win. LT still didn't rush for 100 yds, further proving this is a passing team and his best days are behind him. NEXT @ NY Giants

10. NY Jets (4-4, LW: 10) - Can't blame this loss on Mark Sanchez, who played one of his best games yet with 3 total TD and no turnovers. Blame for this loss falls on the defense and special teams, that gave up not one, but two kick returns for touchdowns. NEXT: Bye Week

11. Jacksonville (3-4, LW: 12) - The Jags really struggled against the previously unbeaten Titans but one had to think the Titans were due for a game like that. Jags get a chance to rebound though. They don't play a team with a winning record until Week 13. NEXT vs. Kansas City

12. Buffalo (3-5, LW: 11) - What a bad loss. They got turnovers from Matt Schaub and couldn't take advantage. They played a bad defense at home and only scored 10 points. Let the QB controversy begin as they head into the bye week. NEXT: Bye Week

13. Tennessee (1-6, LW: 16) - Now that's the Titans team that many thought would begin the season. Vince Young played well at QB, not making dumb mistakes. But the best thing he did was hand the ball off to Chris Johnson, who had 228 yds. NEXT @ San Francisco

14. Oakland (2-6, LW: 15) - Something about the Chargers that brings the best out of the Raiders. They played a decent game but you had to know JaMarcus Russell had zero chance to run a successful 2-minute drill. We'll see if Tom Cable has a job after the bye week. NEXT: Bye Week

15. Kansas City (1-6, LW: 13) - The Larry Johnson fiasco seems to have passed by now but the losing needs to stop now. That can happen if Matt Cassel avoids the turnovers and the aforementioned Johnson of Jamaal Charles can ignite the run game. NEXT @ Jacksonville

16. Cleveland (1-7, LW: 14) - These are rough times for Browns fans. The quarterback situation is back to square one and the lack of offensive touchdowns is just ridiculous. They've already fired their GM. Wouldn't be surprised to Eric Mangini go either. NEXT: Bye Week


1. New Orleans (7-0, LW: 1) - Yet again, they don't score a ton of points but enough for their defense, which by no means is a shut down squad. They were pests though for Matt Ryan all game, keeping him from staying in rhythm with his receivers. NEXT vs. Carolina

2. Minnesota (7-1, LW: 2) - It was an impressive win for the Vikings but time to give Brad Childress props now. With Tarvaris Jackson, the Vikings lose that game. But with Brett Favre, they win and now are in the driver's seat to win the NFC North. NEXT: Bye Week

3. Philadelphia (5-2, LW: 5) - That Philadelphia passing game is just downright dangerous. Donovan McNabb is just having hsi way with defenses and his young receivers are playing great. Getting Brian Westbrook back soon will just make them better. NEXT vs. Dallas

4. Dallas (5-2, LW: 6) - I still don't know where Miles Austin came from but it makes sense that he and Tony Romo have such a great connection. Both came from nowhere and are making the best of their situations right now. This team is better than many though. NEXT @ Philadelphia

5. Atlanta (4-3, LW: 7) - The Falcons lost their second in a row for the first time ever under Mike Smith but talk about a hard-fought loss. They never gave up and stuck with the Saints until the end. Their schedule gets much easier in the next 9 games. NEXT vs. Washington

6. Green Bay (4-3, LW: 8) - The Packers didn't play incredibly bad. Brett Favre just played that well. This team is still dangerous, especially if they can keep a consistent running game. Aaron Rodgers is on his way to being a top-5 NFL QB. NEXT @ Tampa Bay

7. Chicago (4-3, LW: 9) - The Bears found their running game finally, thanks to the Browns. Now, it's just a matter of keeping it going if they want to make the playoffs. Oh, that and Jay Cutler staying away from those turnovers he's prone to having. NEXT vs. Arizona

8. Arizona (4-3, LW: 3) - It's a steep drop for the Cardinals but that's because good teams don't lose to inferior ones at home. That and the Cardinals wins aren't that impressive anymore. That offense is too good to score just 21 against the Panthers defense. NEXT @ Chicago

9. NY Giants (5-3, LW: 4) - Look closely and this team isn't as good as their record. They have wins against the likes of WAS, TB, KC, and OAK and now, have lost three in a row to quality competition. Not sure what's wrong but they need to figure it out. NEXT vs. San Diego

10. Carolina (3-4, LW: 12) - The Panthers played a good game finally. Jake Delhomme threw no INTs and the running game controlled the clock. More importantly, the defense made an impact, scoring points and slowing a very good Arizona offense. NEXT @ New Orleans

11. San Francisco (3-4, LW: 10) - The losing streak is up to 3 now but by the looks of their game against Indy, it'll end soon. The Niners defense played to its potential again. now, it's just up to the offense to put some more points to help them out. NEXT vs. Tennessee

12. Seattle (2-5, LW: 11) - This was supposed to be a much better season for the Seahawks. Injuries can't be an excuse this year like it was last year. Their propensity to fall behind hurts them because the passing game is not their strength. NEXT vs. Detroit

13. Washington (2-5, LW: 13) - Jim Zorn has 9 games left in his Redskins coaching career in all likelihood. We'll see if he goes out with a bang or a thud. Jason Campbell may be the key to that. His play has been awful through 7 games. NEXT @ Atlanta

14. St. Louis (1-7, LW: 15) - Congrats to the Rams for getting that first victory. Much of it is thanks to Steven Jackson, who despite the team's slow start, has yet to slow down. Now, they get a bye week to rest up the bodies before the 2nd half of the season. NEXT: Bye Week

15. Detroit (1-6, LW: 14) - If the Lions are going to turn the corner, they have to start winning games like the one they just lost to St. Louis. The offense should be better than how they've played so far. Only win so far is against WAS so maybe they still are just awful. NEXT @ Seattle

16. Tampa Bay (0-7, LW: 16) - No word yet who will start at quarterback for the Bucs but if I were head coach Raheem Morris, no better time to throw Josh Freeman in the fray than now. It's a home game and against a GB defense that isn't too tough. NEXT vs. Green Bay

Monday, November 2, 2009

2009 College Football - Week 9 Recap


This weekend had the potential to be amazing. There were upsets to be had by many teams but alas, none of them came into fruition. So so sad, especially for a guy secretly hoping to see Boise State face TCU in the title game to spite all those who think the BCS is a good idea. But the good thing is that most years, November is where the real action is. That's because every conference race is determined in the month and maybe more importantly, some of the best team trip up in games they have no business tripping in. So plenty of great stuff to some hopefully but before we move along, here's the look back at Week 9.

THE BIG 10 THINGS I LEARNED THIS WEEK

1. Saturday Statements - After a few weeks of not playing overly impressive, Florida and Texas made some statements this week. Florida showcased its offense and defense in a good performance against Georgia. Tim Tebow played like the Tebow that won the Heisman and the Gators defense shut down the sometimes dynamic Dawgs offense. Meanwhile, Texas did the same to a very good Oklahoma State team. OKST QB Zach Robinson was pressured and pushed to his limits from the start and the Longhorns never let off the gas. Both teams are now are in great shape to finish undefeated before conference title games.

2. Pac-10 Power Shift - For a while, it seemed like the only sure thing in life were death, taxes, and USC winning the Pac-10. Well, that's probably not gonna happen this year, thanks to Oregon. And who saw this coming after Week 1. The Ducks scored just 8 points against Boise State and lost their starting RB for the season due to a punch. But ever since, the Ducks have just gotten better and clearly are the best in the conference. USC isn't a bad team but Oregon sure made them look like it. Props to Chip Kelly for getting the team back on the right track. Still some tough games to go but with a 2-game lead and all the confidence in the world, they should be just fine.

3. BCS Busters in good shape - Give some credit to TCU and Boise State. Despite their long odds of playing in the BCS championship game, they play every game as if they were in the thick of the race. TCU crushed UNLV 41-0 while Boise State disposed of San Jose State 45-7. Winning games convincingly is huge for both, considering the voters' propensity to have other teams jump them just because of the level of competition TCU and BSU play. But no matter what these teams do, they're not gonna move up the BCS standings unless the teams above fall prey to a upset or two.

4. The ACC is ridiculous - You could always seem to count on Virginia Tech to carry the torch for the ACC. No matter how average the conference may be, VT had always been the one to give it credibility. And then, Thursday night happened. The Hokies lost to a UNC team that had been struggling mightily and even worse, they lost to them in Blacksburg. Later that night, Miami (FL) needed a 4th quarter comeback to beat Wake Forest and Duke, once the laughing stock of college football, beat Virginia to give them a better conference record than VT and Miami (FL). Oh, and the entire ACC Atlantic will give you a headache trying to figure it out.

5. Fun November to come in Big Ten - If you think you've got the Big Ten figured out, let me know. Michigan started the season on fire but now, have just one conference win. This week, they lost to an Illinois team many thought would finish near the top. Minnesotsa took down MSU in the battle of mediocrity and Iowa escaped once again, despite 5 INT from Ricky Stanzi. But the best is yet to come. OSU has to face PSU and Iowa. The outcome of those games will determine who will face (and inevitably lose) to Oregon in the Rose Bowl.

6. Tricky Tressel - Oh, and speaking of Ohio State, how about the tricks from Jim Tressel lately? The onside kick, the wide receiver pass. It's actually been fun to watch the Ohio State offense again. Terrelle Pryor is still struggling but if he just focuses on being an athlete and not a quarterback, OSU should be able to survive. Plus, the more tricks the better. Tressel has always been one to play things close to the vest (pun intended) so the more random things he can do against the toughest competition yet, the better.

7. Big East Battles to come - West Virginia did suffer a loss to South Florida but don't count them out of the race yet. They have an underrated team and overlooking them one but could be costly to Pitt and Cincy. Here's how it breaks down. Cincy and Pitt are undefeated in Big East play but still face each other. Both also have to face WV, who could play spoiler by beating them both. Cincy is still playing without QB Tony Pike and been thriving. Meanwhile, Pitt has been playing great football since a terrible loss to NC State. Most years, the Big East is laughed at but this year, there is some real talent and the action to come in November should be fun to watch.

8. Falling Apart - It wasn't too long ago Michigan, Kansas and Ole Miss were in the Top 25 and said to be having great seasons. Forget about that. Michigan began Big Ten play with a win over Indiana and a perfect 4-0. Since then, it's all gone downhill. The Wolverines have lost 4 conference games in a row and at 5-4, still are not bowl eligible. Kansas seemed to be on the fast track to playing Texas in the Big 12 title game but they've hit a huge bump in the road. The Jayhawks have lost 3 in a row and the last two were by 21 or more points. At 1-3, they can still finish in first amazingly but they need to step up their game. And as for Ole Miss, yikes. Once a top 5 team, they're now unranked and losers of 3 conference games. Their latest loss to Auburn was particularly embarrassing, seeing they were never even close to winning. They still have Tennessee and LSU on the schedule so finishing at 7-5 is not out of the question.

9. Non-BCS races - Of course, all the attention has been focused on the BCS conference races but there are some decent ones outside of that. In Conference USA, Houston has a tough one against Tulsa this week to keep tabs on its top spot in the West division. ECU should be fine in the East. The MAC West is all but settled thanks to CMU but the East picture is still muddled. Temple has the lead at 4-0 but still must play OU (4-1) and Kent State (4-1) and in back-to-back games on a short week. The Mountain West is led by TCU and Utah who are both undefeated. Winner of their battle in two weeks will settle that conference. And in the WAC, Boise State and Nevada lead the pack. Their game on the day after Turkey Day should decide that conference.

10. Heisman Watch - With his great performance against Georgia, Tim Tebow went a long way to becoming the second two-time Heisman winner. But Colt McCoy isn't going anywhere. He put up good numbers to and his were on the road against a top-15 team in what was a huge game. Mark Ingram had the week off and Jimmy Clausen played a scrub Washington State team so while his numbers were good, they were expected. CJ Spiller only had 5 carries this past week, really hurting his chances. Other names like Houston QB Case Keenum, Pitt RB Dion Lewis and Miami (FL) QB Jacory Harris had good games but probably aren't solidly in the running yet.

11. A non-Promise commercial from OU? - That's right folks. OU Athletics has created a commercial that will hopefully replace the awful one that includes yours truly and infects the airwaves. You can check out the artistic masterpiece here. (OSU fans beware).

OVER/UNDER
- Can't believe I'm saying this but VIRGINIA TECH is my OVERRATED team of the week. Most years, they are always underrated because of the mediocrity of the ACC but this year, they're just not a good team. Their offense goes non-existent for long stretches in games and while Tyrod Taylor is one heck of an athlete, he is not a great passing quarterback yet, which really hurts this offense. Their defense isn't terrible but they can't get off the field.
- I had a lot of choices for the UNDERRATED team of the week but after deep thought, I went with TENNESSEE. Yes, they're just 4-4 but this team is much better than that. Under Lane Kiffin, this offense has really taken off. Johnathan Crompton is passing the ball with confidence and Montario Hardesty has turned into one of the best backs in the league. Meanwhile, the defense led by the elder Monte Kiffin has really excelled. Safety Eric Berry leads a group that can get after the quarterback and can shut down both the run or pass. They've played well against Florida and Alabama and just got done beating a quality South Carolina team. With the recruits Kiffin is bringing in, expect the Vols to be a dominant team in 2-3 years.

HE/SHE SAID WHAT?
"Eight's not half of 29. It's half of 16, which is half of 29." - Craig James

3 QUESTIONS

1. Who can throw the better deep ball: Terrelle Pryor or Devier Posey?

2. Do the Cincinnati Bearcats have a quarterback controversy once Tony Pike is healthy?

3. If Notre Dame finishes at 10-2, are they worthy of a BCS bowl game?

Sunday, November 1, 2009

Week 8 NFL Picks

On the day that I push myself and complete my first-ever half-marathon, it makes sense for me to push myself to bring back the NFL picks posts to the blog. The last three Sundays have been a bit busy for me so I haven't been able to post the picks but no worries, I have still been making picks and kept tabs on my season record.

After Week 3, I was 33-15, rather pedestrian but also makes sense considering it's tough to read teams early on in the season. But since Week 3, I have a 39-16 record picking games. There have been a lot of easy games to pick in some weeks, thanks to teams like CLE, STL, TB and KC. But some more tough games to pick this week and of course, I'm here to let you know where the great Gus Johnson will be spending his Sunday.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 1
Houston @ Buffalo: HOUSTON - Ryan Fitzpatrick has done a great job leading the Bills to 2 road wins after Trent Edwards injury. But the Texans offense is in sync right now and the Bills defense won't be able to keep up with them.
Cleveland @ Chicago: CHICAGO - Thankfully for the Browns, the bye week is coming, giving them time to lick their wounds from what's been a tough first half. Meanwhile, the Bears get a chance to regroup after two tough losses. Even if Jay Cutler turns the bal over 3 times, the Bears should be victorious
Seattle @ Dallas: DALLAS - The Seahawks are coming off a bye week and a Week 6 game in which the offense mustered up just 3 points. Expect them to come out firing on all cylinders but Dallas' defense should bend and not break enough so that the Dallas rush attack can take advantage of a banged up Seattle defense.
St. Louis @ Detroit: DETROIT - Talk about the battle of futility. This represents St. Louis' best chance to get a victory this season. Meanwhile, Detroit gets Matthew Stafford back and has actually played well this season so picking them to win isn't as hard as you may think.
Denver @ Baltimore: BALTIMORE - There's no doubt now that Denver is for real. Kyle Orton just doesn't make mistakes and that Denver defense under Mike Nolan is stingy. But Baltimore is playing with some anger, having lost 3 in a row and knowing they can't fall too far behind the pack if they want to be playing past Week 17.
San Francisco @ Indianapolis: INDIANAPOLIS - San Fran's offense moved the ball much better under Alex Smith, who will get the start. But the problem for San Fran has been the defense as of late and now, they get to face one of the best offenses in the NFL. Peyton Manning should have a field day picking apart the young 49ers defense.
Miami @ NY Jets: MIAMI - Miami's wildcat package really confused the Jets when they played just 3 weeks ago. But since then, there's been a lot of trash talk about how the Dolphins won. But unless the Jets defense slows down the run game and prevent Chad Henne from throwing for 241 yds again, the Dolphins will sweep the Jets this season.
NY Giants @ Philadelphia: PHILADELPHIA - Both teams have been struggling the past few weeks but one team has to win this one. The Giants offense should be able to score with the Eagles but I see this one coming down to a final drive and Donovan McNabb leading the Eagles to victory with that dynamic pass attack against a weak Giants secondary.
Jacksonville @ Tennessee: JACKSONVILLE - Things will turn around in Tennessee soon enough but not this week. Jacksonville has found a pass attack to go with their run game and with Vince Young making the start, you can expect the Jags defense to force a couple turnovers that will play a factor in the game as well.
Oakland @ San Diego: SAN DIEGO - After an absolutely awful week from JaMarcus Russell last week, he's back starting under center and gets to play a Chargers team that is in desperate need of a win to stay in the playoff picture. That and the Chargers aren't gonna mess around piling up points in this one.
Carolina @ Arizona: ARIZONA - These are bad times in Carolina. Teams can simply load the box and force Jake Delhomme to make a play and as seen by his league-leading 13 INT, that's a winning strategy. The Cardinals are playing great football these days too, not just on offense either.
Minnesota @ Green Bay: GREEN BAY - Apparently, Brett Favre used to play in Green Bay. Well, with him or not, Green Bay isn't going to lose this division battle at home. They went down to the wire with the Vikes in the meeting in the Metrodome. This time, it's not as close as the GB running game opens up the passing game.

Monday, November 2
Atlanta @ New Orleans: NEW ORLEANS - Tough to think that with a loss, the Falcons fall to 4-3 but their schedule has been tough early on. For them to win, they have to slow down Drew Brees and that pass attack. But that's easier said than done. Look for Brees to light up the Falcons secondary just like Romo did against them last week.

WHERE'S GUS JOHNSON? - I hate it when they stick the great Gus on a terrible game because odds are, there will be no memorable calls. Well, that's the case this week as the Jags face the Titans. Of course, there's always a chance the game is close and GuJo gets to call the Titans first win (hopefully in dramatic fashion) but I just don't see that happening. I just hope he's calling the CBS Saturday Night Fights this Saturday because Gus doing MMA is about the best thing since sliced bread.

ENJOY THE GAMES EVERYONE!!!

Thursday, October 29, 2009

2009 College Football - Week 9


Each and every week, I go into the college football week hoping for a lot. Hoping to make the right picks. Hoping my teams win. Hoping the top teams lose so that we create a situation so confusing that a playoff is the only reasonable solution to the problem. But yet, I have yet to get all that I've hoped for. But who knows. Maybe this will be the week everything comes together.

As far as the picks, it was yet another awful week for yours truly. I went 8-7 in my picks and yet again, did not correctly pick the APPY. My season record is up to 75-45, which is really not good at all considering how easy some of the games are to pick. Hopefully, I can turn it around this week. There are quite a few tough games to pick so hopefully, I pick them the right way. A 15-0 week is inevitable for me, right?

GAME OF THE WEEK

1. #3 Texas @ #14 Oklahoma State - No doubt, this is the game of the week. Texas comes in after its best overall performance of the year, trouncing Missouri. But now, they hit the road and play the best team they'll play all year. You see, OKST had a rough start to the year with a loss to Houston bu they've recovered nicely. And they're also doing it without star wideout Dez Bryant, who has been suspended for the season. I'm a big fan of QB Zach Robinson, probably the most underrated QB in the NCAA. The Texas defense hasn't given up more than 14 points in the last 4 games but I'd be shocked if they can replicate that in this game. The Longhorns have won the last 11 meetings and are my choice to win the national title. That means I am taking TEXAS to stay unbeaten and continue their run to the title.

BEST OF THE REST

2. #5 USC @ #10 Oregon - You can pretty much call this the Pac-10 championship if you want. So far, these two have proven they are the best two teams in the conference and while each have plenty more games to play, they will be favored to win them all. USC has played pretty well since the loss to Washington but they have shown signs of weakness, especially on defense. The Trojans have given up 63 pts in the last 2 games. Meanwhile, Oregon is no stranger to putting some points up. Besides their loss to Boise State, they've put up 31 or more points in every game but one. The game is in Eugene too, a place where Oregon is quite formidable. The last USC traveled to Autzen Stadium, they lost. I see the same happening this Saturday. OREGON is my pick to win and take control in the Pac-10.

3. Georgia @ #1 Florida - The nickname for this game is the "World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party". It'll be quite the party for Georgia if Florida loses this game. UGA won this battle two years ago but last year, were just embarrassed by the Gators 49-10. UGA probably still has that loss on their mind and will be looking for some sweet revenge. The Dawgs are coming off a bye week so they've had 2 weeks to prepare for the Gators. Meanwhile, the Gators are coming off a less than dominating win over Mississippi State, their second such win in two weeks. Not sure what's going on with Tim Tebow and his Gators but they haven't looked like a championship team as of late. The defense has saved them a couple times but the offense has been awful during games. The great thing about any rivalry is that the record of each team doesn't matter when the two teams hook up. And maybe more importantly, this yea, UGA really has nothing to play for, having already lost 3 times this year. I think this one will do down to the wire but I'm gonna pick FLORIDA.

4. Indiana @ #4 Iowa - The quality of games this week really takes a step down starting with this one but this one could be good. You see, Iowa has played just about every team close, including teams that have no business being in a close game with the Hawkeyes. Indiana fits that mold to a T, so you have to assume this one will be close until the end. This is an improved Indiana team. At 4-4, they are knocking on the door of a bowl game. Secondly, they've played well on the road, playing some incredibly close games against a good Michigan and Northwestern team. The key for the victory for Indiana will be their defense. Last week, they blew a 28-3 advantage late. If they grab an early lead against Iowa, they better hold on for dear life because the Hawkeyes seem to like winning in the end. I'm going with IOWA but again, don't be surprised if it ends up close. And yes, I am picking Iowa. Weird, I know.

5. #21 West Virginia @ South Florida - USF's schedule could not have been more brutal to them. They were forced to play the best 3 teams in the Big East back to back to back. So far, it hasn't been good for them. They lost a tough one to Cincy in Tampa and then were blasted on the road at Pittsburgh. This week is their last chance at Big East redemption but it won't be easy. They're taking on a WV team that is really gaining confidence since their 9/19 loss to Auburn. QB Jarrett Brown has really stepped up his play and because of that, the Mountaineers are still in the running for the conference title. Thing is, I think USF is too good to lose 3 in a row so I'm going with SOUTH FLORIDA.

6. #25 Ole Miss @ Auburn - This is a big game for both teams. Ole Miss has been desperate to get back in the respectability column since losses to South Carolina and Alabama that proved this team wasn't among the national elite quite yet. Meanwhile, Auburn is trying to stop their freefall from the top 20. The Tigers have lost 3 in a row and just as quick as Auburn fans were praising Gene Chizik, they've now turned on him, discouraged by the team's recent performance. A win would do wonders for both and their fan bases. While I think Auburn's offense will rebound with a good game, OLE MISS will come away the victor.

7. #22 South Carolina @ Tennessee - Despite their paltry record, it's pretty safe to say this has still been a good season for the Volunteers. The offense has the potential to score big (45 against UGA) and the defense has really improved under defensive genius Monte Kiffin. But they're gonna have their hands full with South Carolina. The Gamecocks don't dominate games but they find ways to win. QB Stephen Garcia continues to make smart decisions and WR Alshon Jeffery continues to impress. But the key to them winning is their defense, which has been good at shutting down every offense they've played, except in the Georgia game. It's never easy playing in Knoxville but I'm going with SOUTH CAROLINA.

8. #19 Miami (FL) @ Wake Forest - Winning the ACC is not much of a possibility for Miami (FL) anymore after their loss to GT. But this is a huge one for Wake, who is in the hunt for the ACC Atlantic. Wake has already lost two games in the conference and Miami (FL) is better than either of those two. The 'Canes are probably going to come into this game motivated so I'm thinking MIAMI (FL) will win easily.

9. North Carolina @ #13 Virginia Tech - Apparently, Butch Davis wants to get fired from this job too. After a solid start, the Tar Heels have lost 3 of its last 4 games and are at the bottom of the ACC Coastal. In fact, unless they have a complete turnaround, they're probably going to finish at the bottom. Meanwhile, VT is just hoping Georgia Tech will make one misstep and jump into the ACC title game. UNC may come into this game with some extra fire and motivation with it being a nationally televised game but VIRGINIA TECH should roll.

10. #8 Cincinnati @ Syracuse - In no way should this game be close but with Cincinnati, every game on the road is going to be a huge game. Syracuse hasn't played that well this season, even at home. But this is the kind of game that could easily be an upset if Cincinnati overlooks the Orange. CINCINNATI is my pick to win though.

11. #24 California@ Arizona State - It's been a long road back to the top 25 for Cal after a couple of blowout losses to the likes of USC and Oregon. The offense and defense took a break during those games but now seemed to have woken up. RB Jahvid Best is back to his old self and should be able to gain some yards on the ASU defense. ASU was supposed to be one of the surprises in the Pac-10 this year but instead has been incredibly mediocre. They get a chance to get a bit of a marquee win this week but they'll have to play a near perfect game. I need an APPYso here we go. I'll choose ARIZONA STATE to win.

12. Central Michigan @ Boston College - CMU is one of the hottest teams in the nation right now, having won 7 in a row since their opening week loss to a good Arizona team. It's kind of odd to have to play a non-conference game this late but CMU should be up to the task. BC isn't the toughest opponent ever and even though it is in Chestnut Hill, better not overlook the talents of CMU. QB Dan LeFevour continues to improve his draft stock with his solid play and don't look now but CMU is carrying the torch for the MAC, having already beaten a Big Ten team this year already in MSU. I may be a bit biased with this pick but I'm picking CENTRAL MICHIGAN to grab a good non-conference road win.

13. #12 Penn State @ Northwestern - Remember last year when an undefeated PSU team invaded Iowa hoping to leave unscathed? Yeah, it didn't work out too well for the Nittany Lions. This game has that same feeling to it. PSU is coming off a big win against Michigan while Northwestern will still be riding the wave of an amazing comeback win over Indiana. PSU is the clearly superior team but the Wildcats always play good against ranked teams in Evanston. I'm going with PENN STATE still but beware the upset here.

14. #11 Georgia Tech @ Vanderbilt - Having already played 6 conference games, you knew GT was due for a non-conference game. This isn't the run of the mill one though, as they face an SEC opponent on the road. Of course, Vandy isn't the toughest SEC team to play but you know when you play the Commodores, you're gonna get a battle. Just ask South Carolina last week who had to play a full 60 minutes to defeat them. GT's offense should be enough to carry them past Vandy but if they come in flat, look out for Vandy to gain some confidence and possibly, pull off an upset. GEORGIA TECH is my pick.

15. UNLV @ #6 TCU - Oh man, wouldn't it stink if TCU laid an egg at home after a big road win over BYU? The thing with TCU now these days is that not only do they need to win but they need to continue to win games big. With a few losses by some of the teams ahead of them, they still have an outside chance of sneaking into the title game. UNLV is not a good team, sitting at 3-5 and having given up more than 30 points per game in almost every game. But this is college football and weird things happen all the time. TCU should win and better win by a big margin.
 
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